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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University2.15+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.69+2.60vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon2.51+0.06vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.21-0.50vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.62-0.36vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.02-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound0.03-0.08vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.93-2.91vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.30-1.62vs Predicted
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11University of Puget Sound0.36-3.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64Western Washington University2.150.2%1st Place
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4.6University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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3.06University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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3.5Western Washington University2.210.2%1st Place
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4.64Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.9Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Puget Sound0.030.0%1st Place
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6.09Western Washington University0.930.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Washington-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.28University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Taylor | 18.7% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 15.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 11.4% | 9.2% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Philip Gordon | 24.4% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 10.8% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 18.2% | 19.0% | 17.4% | 15.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ashley Vincent | 10.7% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Alex Waldron | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Michael Trombatore | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 16.0% | 24.5% | 27.6% |
| Philip Bowman | 4.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 15.5% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 5.3% |
| Jimi Miller | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 12.6% | 20.5% | 43.1% |
| David Eva | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 23.2% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.