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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Patrick Taylor 18.7% 17.8% 16.0% 15.5% 10.9% 9.4% 7.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.6%
Alyce Flanagan 11.4% 9.2% 15.0% 13.1% 13.8% 14.9% 11.1% 7.3% 3.8% 0.4%
Philip Gordon 24.4% 21.4% 17.5% 15.2% 10.8% 5.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Peter McGrath 18.2% 19.0% 17.4% 15.9% 11.7% 9.0% 5.4% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Ashley Vincent 10.7% 10.5% 12.3% 13.8% 15.4% 14.2% 11.9% 6.9% 3.0% 1.3%
Alex Waldron 6.3% 7.6% 6.3% 8.1% 11.3% 14.2% 14.4% 16.0% 11.3% 4.5%
Michael Trombatore 1.6% 1.7% 2.8% 3.2% 5.0% 6.9% 10.7% 16.0% 24.5% 27.6%
Philip Bowman 4.6% 7.5% 7.0% 7.2% 10.9% 12.4% 15.5% 17.6% 12.0% 5.3%
Jimi Miller 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 2.7% 4.1% 4.7% 7.4% 12.6% 20.5% 43.1%
David Eva 2.6% 3.6% 4.0% 5.3% 6.1% 8.6% 13.0% 16.5% 23.2% 17.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.