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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.44+7.60vs Predicted
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2Fordham University1.74+9.29vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.45+5.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy1.87+6.96vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.76+2.49vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+1.50vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.67+0.94vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.67-0.23vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-1.74vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-3.22vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.73-3.15vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.50-3.38vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College1.15+0.36vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-7.86vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-9.50vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.71-1.48vs Predicted
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17Christopher Newport University1.36-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.62.440.1%1st Place
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11.29Fordham University1.740.0%1st Place
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8.7Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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10.96U. S. Naval Academy1.870.0%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.5Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.94Yale University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.77George Washington University2.670.1%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.78University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.85College of Charleston2.730.1%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.500.1%1st Place
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13.36Eckerd College1.150.0%1st Place
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6.14Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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14.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.710.0%1st Place
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12.73Christopher Newport University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Paz | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Amanda Stapp | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 5.9% |
| Emily Petno | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Mary Robertson | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Katharina (KB) Knapp | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Hannah McNomee | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Pemberton | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Golison | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Sophie Salomon | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 20.5% | 23.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Erin Condon | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 20.6% | 39.3% |
| Samara Leith | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.