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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.87+1.95vs Predicted
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2University of Virginia1.63+0.03vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.42+0.66vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.09+0.43vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.22-1.00vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University-0.39-1.14vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.50-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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2.03University of Virginia1.630.4%1st Place
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3.66Penn State Behrend0.420.1%1st Place
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4.43Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.0Christopher Newport University0.220.1%1st Place
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4.86North Carolina State University-0.390.0%1st Place
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6.08William and Mary-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mazzeo | 22.1% | 23.2% | 19.7% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Alexander Singh | 42.6% | 29.5% | 15.6% | 8.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Ruppen | 11.9% | 14.0% | 22.3% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Brogan Savage | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 16.7% | 21.0% | 23.2% | 9.6% |
| Laura Kilgore | 9.2% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 6.1% |
| Elijah Jones | 4.9% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 19.7% | 27.9% | 16.8% |
| Hailey Park | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 15.5% | 61.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.