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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.63+1.04vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+0.96vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University-0.09+1.43vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.22-0.04vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend0.42-1.31vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.50-0.81vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University-0.39-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04University of Virginia1.630.4%1st Place
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2.96William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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4.43Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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3.96Christopher Newport University0.220.1%1st Place
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3.69Penn State Behrend0.420.1%1st Place
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6.19William and Mary-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.73North Carolina State University-0.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Singh | 44.7% | 24.9% | 17.9% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 18.9% | 26.4% | 19.5% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Brogan Savage | 7.0% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 19.6% | 22.3% | 10.5% |
| Laura Kilgore | 10.4% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 19.5% | 19.4% | 16.0% | 5.7% |
| Christopher Ruppen | 10.9% | 16.5% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 4.7% |
| Hailey Park | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 16.9% | 62.9% |
| Elijah Jones | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 20.8% | 27.8% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.