← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Christopher Newport University0.22+2.76vs Predicted
-
2University of Virginia1.630.00vs Predicted
-
3William and Mary0.87-0.06vs Predicted
-
4Penn State Behrend0.42-0.38vs Predicted
-
5William and Mary-1.50+1.14vs Predicted
-
6Monmouth University-0.09-1.66vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University-0.81-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.76Christopher Newport University0.220.1%1st Place
-
2.0University of Virginia1.630.4%1st Place
-
2.94William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
-
3.62Penn State Behrend0.420.1%1st Place
-
6.14William and Mary-1.500.0%1st Place
-
4.34Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
-
5.2North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Kilgore | 12.2% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 20.1% | 19.4% | 12.5% | 4.6% |
| Alexander Singh | 43.6% | 29.9% | 14.9% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 18.9% | 23.6% | 24.2% | 18.4% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Christopher Ruppen | 12.9% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 20.8% | 20.4% | 11.0% | 2.0% |
| Hailey Park | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 17.7% | 60.4% |
| Brogan Savage | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 17.5% | 24.0% | 17.8% | 9.7% |
| April Lamb | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 15.9% | 33.9% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.