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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.63+1.03vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University-0.09+2.28vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University-0.81+2.29vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.87-1.02vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University0.22-1.11vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-1.50+0.07vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend0.42-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Virginia1.630.4%1st Place
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4.28Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.29North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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2.98William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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3.89Christopher Newport University0.220.1%1st Place
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6.07William and Mary-1.500.0%1st Place
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3.45Penn State Behrend0.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Singh | 43.8% | 27.2% | 16.2% | 8.9% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Brogan Savage | 7.1% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 22.0% | 18.5% | 8.3% |
| April Lamb | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 15.0% | 32.9% | 25.9% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 19.8% | 22.8% | 22.2% | 17.2% | 12.2% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Laura Kilgore | 8.8% | 14.9% | 18.4% | 18.8% | 19.6% | 14.2% | 5.3% |
| Hailey Park | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 11.2% | 19.7% | 56.7% |
| Christopher Ruppen | 14.3% | 18.1% | 18.5% | 20.3% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.