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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.63+1.03vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.42+1.54vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University0.22+0.87vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.87-1.08vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.81+0.33vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.09-1.68vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.50-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03University of Virginia1.630.4%1st Place
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3.54Penn State Behrend0.420.1%1st Place
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3.87Christopher Newport University0.220.1%1st Place
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2.92William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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5.33North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.32Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.99William and Mary-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Singh | 44.7% | 27.0% | 15.2% | 8.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Ruppen | 12.4% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 17.9% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Laura Kilgore | 9.1% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 4.9% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 21.4% | 23.3% | 20.6% | 17.0% | 12.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| April Lamb | 3.2% | 4.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 15.7% | 32.7% | 26.2% |
| Brogan Savage | 7.4% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 19.9% | 9.0% |
| Hailey Park | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 18.6% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.