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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Virginia1.63+1.05vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.42+1.57vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.87-0.07vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University0.39-0.35vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University-0.09-0.60vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University-0.81-1.64vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-1.50-1.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05University of Virginia1.630.4%1st Place
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3.57Penn State Behrend0.420.1%1st Place
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2.93William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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3.65Christopher Newport University0.390.1%1st Place
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4.4Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.36North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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6.03William and Mary-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Singh | 44.4% | 25.2% | 17.2% | 8.7% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Ruppen | 12.6% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 18.7% | 10.5% | 3.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 18.6% | 26.2% | 21.8% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Hanna Halleck-Pinkleton | 12.6% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 20.1% | 20.0% | 11.5% | 2.8% |
| Brogan Savage | 6.3% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 18.8% | 23.4% | 19.2% | 9.7% |
| April Lamb | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 16.3% | 31.7% | 27.2% |
| Hailey Park | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 20.6% | 56.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.