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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.87+1.97vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.42+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.63-0.98vs Predicted
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4Monmouth University-0.09+0.38vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.81+0.35vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University0.39-2.33vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.50-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.97William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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3.58Penn State Behrend0.420.1%1st Place
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2.02University of Virginia1.630.4%1st Place
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4.38Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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5.35North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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3.67Christopher Newport University0.390.1%1st Place
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6.02William and Mary-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mazzeo | 20.6% | 23.1% | 21.0% | 17.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Christopher Ruppen | 12.7% | 14.6% | 21.8% | 20.5% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 3.2% |
| Alexander Singh | 43.0% | 29.7% | 15.3% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Brogan Savage | 6.6% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 24.2% | 20.4% | 8.8% |
| April Lamb | 3.4% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 17.3% | 32.2% | 26.4% |
| Hanna Halleck-Pinkleton | 11.6% | 15.6% | 17.8% | 22.0% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 2.9% |
| Hailey Park | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 19.3% | 56.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.