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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.42+2.57vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.39+1.63vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.87-0.03vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.63-1.96vs Predicted
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5North Carolina State University-0.81+0.38vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University-0.09-1.61vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-1.50-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Penn State Behrend0.420.1%1st Place
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3.63Christopher Newport University0.390.1%1st Place
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2.97William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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2.04University of Virginia1.630.4%1st Place
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5.38North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
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4.39Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
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6.02William and Mary-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Ruppen | 14.3% | 15.1% | 19.3% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 3.2% |
| Hanna Halleck-Pinkleton | 11.5% | 16.1% | 19.5% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 19.2% | 23.3% | 22.6% | 18.5% | 10.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Singh | 43.3% | 27.7% | 15.0% | 10.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| April Lamb | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 33.8% | 26.6% |
| Brogan Savage | 6.6% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 24.4% | 21.0% | 8.6% |
| Hailey Park | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 10.1% | 18.7% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.