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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College0.50+1.14vs Predicted
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2Hamilton College0.59+0.25vs Predicted
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3Columbia University-0.13-0.04vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.87-0.09vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-1.30-0.55vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy-2.27-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.14SUNY Maritime College0.5036.1%1st Place
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2.25Hamilton College0.5932.2%1st Place
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2.96Columbia University-0.1316.9%1st Place
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3.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.878.1%1st Place
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4.45SUNY Stony Brook-1.304.2%1st Place
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5.28U. S. Military Academy-2.272.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathaniel Hartwell | 36.1% | 30.8% | 19.8% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Alan Becker | 32.2% | 30.4% | 21.6% | 11.8% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Chase O'Malley | 16.9% | 20.3% | 28.9% | 20.6% | 10.8% | 2.5% |
| Griffin Jones | 8.1% | 9.5% | 16.1% | 27.2% | 27.7% | 11.5% |
| Sophia Dimont | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 20.6% | 37.5% | 21.4% |
| Sarra Salah | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 63.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.