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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.81+1.50vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon1.97+2.01vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.87+1.06vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.02-0.40vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.14+0.23vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.24-1.82vs Predicted
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8University of Puget Sound-0.60+0.07vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.80-2.98vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.60-3.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.5University of Washington2.810.3%1st Place
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4.01University of Oregon1.970.1%1st Place
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4.06Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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3.6Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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5.23Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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5.18Western Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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8.07University of Puget Sound-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.02Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Darrin | 33.1% | 26.5% | 16.3% | 12.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Balter | 11.6% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Paul Foley | 13.8% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 15.5% | 8.2% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Bryan Rust | 16.5% | 17.3% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 13.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Angela Gossom | 7.0% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 5.5% |
| Matt Marquardt | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 3.2% |
| Aidan Meacham | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 16.4% | 64.3% |
| Sara Welsh | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 19.6% | 20.2% | 11.1% |
| Jake Antles | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 17.1% | 26.5% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.