← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Virginia1.63+1.04vs Predicted
-
2William and Mary0.87+0.94vs Predicted
-
3Christopher Newport University0.39+0.67vs Predicted
-
4Penn State Behrend0.42-0.40vs Predicted
-
5Monmouth University-0.09-0.62vs Predicted
-
7North Carolina State University-0.81-1.65vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-1.50-1.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.04University of Virginia1.630.5%1st Place
-
2.94William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
-
3.67Christopher Newport University0.390.1%1st Place
-
3.6Penn State Behrend0.420.1%1st Place
-
4.38Monmouth University-0.090.1%1st Place
-
5.35North Carolina State University-0.810.0%1st Place
-
6.02William and Mary-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Singh | 45.1% | 25.3% | 16.1% | 8.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 18.8% | 25.5% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 0.7% |
| Hanna Halleck-Pinkleton | 11.1% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 20.7% | 18.8% | 10.0% | 4.1% |
| Christopher Ruppen | 13.5% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 19.8% | 11.1% | 2.8% |
| Brogan Savage | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 22.7% | 19.7% | 9.5% |
| April Lamb | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 32.0% | 26.7% |
| Hailey Park | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 20.5% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.