← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tulane University0.89+1.76vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.39+0.12vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University0.34+0.55vs Predicted
-
4Ohio University0.13-0.12vs Predicted
-
5Texas A&M University-0.59-0.10vs Predicted
-
6University of Texas-0.42-1.37vs Predicted
-
7University of Central Oklahoma-1.76-0.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.76Tulane University0.890.3%1st Place
-
2.12University of Wisconsin1.390.4%1st Place
-
3.55Ohio State University0.340.1%1st Place
-
3.88Ohio University0.130.1%1st Place
-
4.9Texas A&M University-0.590.0%1st Place
-
4.63University of Texas-0.420.1%1st Place
-
6.15University of Central Oklahoma-1.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Oswalt | 25.2% | 24.6% | 19.6% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| James Sitter | 39.2% | 30.4% | 17.2% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| David Aspery | 12.4% | 15.4% | 22.9% | 19.2% | 17.3% | 9.6% | 3.2% |
| Abby Freeman | 10.8% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 20.9% | 20.0% | 15.1% | 4.2% |
| Walter Pospick | 4.7% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 20.2% | 28.9% | 16.4% |
| Caroline Bik | 5.7% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 21.1% | 26.0% | 11.4% |
| Jordan Johnson | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 15.8% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.