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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.87+2.84vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.81+0.48vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.02+0.56vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon1.22+0.96vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.24-0.09vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.14-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.60-0.74vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.80-3.16vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.60-2.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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2.48University of Washington2.810.3%1st Place
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3.56Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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4.96University of Oregon1.220.1%1st Place
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4.91Western Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.16Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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5.84Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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7.98University of Puget Sound-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Foley | 14.9% | 15.8% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Darrin | 33.9% | 26.2% | 17.7% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 17.7% | 17.5% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 3.1% |
| Matt Marquardt | 7.7% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 5.8% |
| Angela Gossom | 7.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 3.7% |
| Jake Antles | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 17.7% | 24.5% | 13.0% |
| Sara Welsh | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 16.0% | 20.2% | 9.9% |
| Aidan Meacham | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 63.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.