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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+6.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+8.07vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+3.44vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.13+4.72vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.93+4.60vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.01+3.38vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.54+4.64vs Predicted
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8Santa Barbara City College2.29+4.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+0.84vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.16-1.36vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.14+1.99vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.89+2.03vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon1.55+2.75vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University1.47+1.97vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine1.06+2.97vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.16-8.34vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.62-6.73vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-9.46vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin2.11-6.40vs Predicted
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21Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-4.45vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles0.61-1.43vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.44vs Predicted
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24Santa Clara University0.59-3.59vs Predicted
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25Texas A&M University0.43-3.59vs Predicted
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26Oregon State University1.47-9.03vs Predicted
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27Western Washington University0.06-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.07Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.44U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.72Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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9.38College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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11.64Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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12.69Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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13.99University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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15.03University of California at Berkeley1.890.0%1st Place
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16.75University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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16.97Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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18.97University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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8.66Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.27Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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13.6University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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16.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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20.57University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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22.56University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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20.41Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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21.41Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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16.97Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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22.69Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 11.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 15.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.