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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.22+4.03vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University2.02+0.73vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.87-0.18vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.14+0.11vs Predicted
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6University of Washington2.81-3.70vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.60-0.80vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University0.80-2.12vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.24-4.01vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.60-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03University of Oregon1.220.1%1st Place
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3.73Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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3.82Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.11Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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2.3University of Washington2.810.4%1st Place
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6.2University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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5.88Western Washington University0.800.1%1st Place
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4.99Western Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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7.94University of Puget Sound-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cara Kuhlman | 7.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 3.7% |
| Bryan Rust | 11.6% | 19.5% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Paul Foley | 13.1% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Angela Gossom | 6.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 4.6% |
| Hannah Darrin | 41.2% | 24.4% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jake Antles | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 17.8% | 23.9% | 13.0% |
| Sara Welsh | 5.2% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 17.8% | 19.7% | 9.7% |
| Matt Marquardt | 8.5% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 14.7% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 3.9% |
| Aidan Meacham | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 13.8% | 63.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.