← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.51+6.08vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.54+9.91vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston3.01+6.44vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.06vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.62+6.08vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+3.96vs Predicted
-
7University of Southern California2.93+2.68vs Predicted
-
8Boston University3.13+0.55vs Predicted
-
9University of Hawaii2.14+4.60vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.62vs Predicted
-
11Tufts University2.90-1.30vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University3.16-3.15vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-3.52vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Irvine1.06+4.98vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.40vs Predicted
-
16Santa Barbara City College2.29-2.89vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania3.16-8.43vs Predicted
-
18University of Wisconsin2.11-4.11vs Predicted
-
19Oregon State University1.47-2.01vs Predicted
-
20University of California at Los Angeles0.61+0.35vs Predicted
-
21University of California at Berkeley1.89-5.84vs Predicted
-
22University of Oregon1.55-5.40vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.40vs Predicted
-
24Santa Clara University0.59-3.54vs Predicted
-
25Texas A&M University0.43-3.58vs Predicted
-
26Oregon State University1.47-9.01vs Predicted
-
27Western Washington University0.06-4.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.08Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
11.91Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
9.44College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
-
8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
11.08Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
-
9.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
-
9.68University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.55Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
13.6University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
-
6.38U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.7Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
-
8.85Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
9.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.0%1st Place
-
18.98University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
16.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
13.11Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
-
8.57University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
13.89University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
-
16.99Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
-
20.35University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
15.16University of California at Berkeley1.890.0%1st Place
-
16.6University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
-
22.6University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
20.46Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
21.42Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
-
16.99Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
-
22.71Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 13.6% | 19.4% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 17.3% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.