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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+9.08vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.16+6.83vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+4.15vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.54+7.72vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13+3.62vs Predicted
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6Santa Barbara City College2.29+7.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.89+7.91vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.01+1.10vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.93+0.64vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.61vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-3.00vs Predicted
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12Santa Clara University0.59+8.81vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.11+0.94vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.62-2.70vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University1.47+2.01vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.90-6.01vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-0.59vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine1.06+0.84vs Predicted
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19Oregon State University1.47-1.99vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-10.47vs Predicted
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21Fordham University3.16-12.58vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz0.02+0.65vs Predicted
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23Texas A&M University0.43-1.88vs Predicted
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24University of Oregon1.55-7.44vs Predicted
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25University of Hawaii2.14-11.50vs Predicted
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26University of California at Los Angeles0.61-5.24vs Predicted
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27Western Washington University0.06-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.15Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.72Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.62Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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13.06Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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14.91University of California at Berkeley1.890.0%1st Place
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9.1College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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20.81Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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13.94University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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11.3Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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17.01Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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16.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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18.84University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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17.01Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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8.42Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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22.65University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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21.12Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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16.56University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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13.5University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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20.76University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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22.65Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Weis | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 11.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 21.5% | 27.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 19.9% | 29.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.