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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.7
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+6.08vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+8.10vs Predicted
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3Santa Barbara City College2.29+10.18vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+4.79vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.93+3.74vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+2.52vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii2.14+5.40vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.13-0.41vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61+10.51vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+5.26vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.16-3.20vs Predicted
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13Santa Clara University0.59+7.74vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.87vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.01-5.60vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon1.55+0.71vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University0.43+4.25vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.62-6.72vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.54-7.34vs Predicted
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20University of Pennsylvania3.16-11.64vs Predicted
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21Oregon State University1.47-3.80vs Predicted
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22Oregon State University1.47-4.80vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.58vs Predicted
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24Western Washington University0.06-1.56vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine1.06-6.37vs Predicted
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26University of Wisconsin2.11-11.95vs Predicted
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27University of California at Berkeley1.89-11.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.08Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.1Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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13.18Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.79University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Southern California2.930.0%1st Place
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9.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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13.4University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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8.59Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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20.51University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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16.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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8.8Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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20.74Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.4College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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16.71University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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21.25Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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11.28Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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11.66Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.36University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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17.2Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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17.2Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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22.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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22.44Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
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18.63University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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14.05University of Wisconsin2.110.0%1st Place
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15.48University of California at Berkeley1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 11.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 18.6% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 18.9% | 25.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Soren Walljasper | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.