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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Barbara City College2.29+11.85vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+5.10vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+13.35vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.16+4.43vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.13+3.35vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.01+3.24vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.93+2.43vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.26vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.54+2.28vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.90-0.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.06+7.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-1.99vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.16-4.51vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-7.78vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University1.47+1.76vs Predicted
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16Oregon State University1.47+0.76vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-7.62vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii2.14-4.48vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.62-7.91vs Predicted
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20Texas A&M University0.43+1.03vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.86vs Predicted
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22Western Washington University0.06+0.38vs Predicted
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23University of California at Berkeley1.89-8.32vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.58vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon1.55-8.97vs Predicted
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26University of Wisconsin0.95-6.83vs Predicted
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27Santa Clara University0.59-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.85Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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7.1Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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16.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.24College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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7.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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11.28Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.74Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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18.39University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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10.01University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
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8.49Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.22U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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16.76Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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16.76Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.0%1st Place
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13.52University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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11.09Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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21.03Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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20.14University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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22.38Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Berkeley1.890.0%1st Place
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22.42University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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16.03University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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19.17University of Wisconsin0.950.0%1st Place
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20.77Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Barton | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 27.6% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 27.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ari Tessitore | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.