← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
6.0
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.33vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.01+7.27vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.93+6.72vs Predicted
-
4University of Pennsylvania3.16+4.40vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii2.14+8.20vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.54+5.47vs Predicted
-
7Oregon State University1.47+9.57vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.51-1.29vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+0.27vs Predicted
-
10Santa Barbara City College2.29+2.65vs Predicted
-
11Western Washington University0.06+11.08vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine1.06+6.84vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles0.61+7.46vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.13-5.42vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Santa Barbara2.88-5.19vs Predicted
-
16University of Oregon1.55+0.50vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-9.06vs Predicted
-
18Roger Williams University2.62-6.98vs Predicted
-
19Fordham University3.16-10.48vs Predicted
-
20Santa Clara University0.59+0.20vs Predicted
-
21Tufts University2.90-11.16vs Predicted
-
22Texas A&M University0.43-1.08vs Predicted
-
23University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-0.57vs Predicted
-
24Oregon State University1.47-7.43vs Predicted
-
25University of California at Berkeley1.89-10.47vs Predicted
-
26University of Wisconsin0.95-6.80vs Predicted
-
27Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-10.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.33U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.27College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
-
9.72University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
-
8.4University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
-
13.2University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
-
11.47Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
16.57Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
-
6.71Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
9.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
-
12.65Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
-
22.08Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
-
18.84University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
-
20.46University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
-
8.58Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
9.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
-
16.5University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
-
7.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
11.02Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
-
8.52Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
20.2Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
-
9.84Tufts University2.900.0%1st Place
-
20.92Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
-
22.43University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
-
16.57Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
-
14.53University of California at Berkeley1.890.0%1st Place
-
19.2University of Wisconsin0.950.0%1st Place
-
16.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.5% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 5.9% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Weis | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ari Tessitore | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.