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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.6
Avg Position Diff
27
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.88+8.83vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+6.71vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.62+8.17vs Predicted
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4Santa Barbara City College2.29+8.72vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.01+3.96vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.14+7.55vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University1.47+9.58vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.51-1.28vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.93-1.42vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.90-2.41vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.06+5.77vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-6.07vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+1.26vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.54-4.45vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.13-8.35vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley1.89-3.28vs Predicted
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19Oregon State University1.47-2.42vs Predicted
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20University of Pennsylvania3.16-11.59vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.63vs Predicted
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22Santa Clara University0.59-1.82vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University0.06-0.63vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz0.02-1.74vs Predicted
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25Texas A&M University0.43-3.87vs Predicted
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26University of Oregon1.55-9.92vs Predicted
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27University of Wisconsin0.95-7.79vs Predicted
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28U. S. Naval Academy3.67-21.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.83University of California at Santa Barbara2.880.0%1st Place
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8.71Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.17Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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12.72Santa Barbara City College2.290.0%1st Place
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8.96College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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13.55University of Hawaii2.140.0%1st Place
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16.58Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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6.72Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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9.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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9.58University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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18.77University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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7.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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16.26Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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11.55Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.65Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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14.72University of California at Berkeley1.890.0%1st Place
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16.58Oregon State University1.470.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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20.37University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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20.18Santa Clara University0.590.0%1st Place
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22.37Western Washington University0.060.0%1st Place
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22.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.020.0%1st Place
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21.13Texas A&M University0.430.0%1st Place
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16.08University of Oregon1.550.0%1st Place
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19.21University of Wisconsin0.950.0%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Weis | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Hecht | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cody Odou | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Jack Swikart | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 0.0% |
| Francesca Dana | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 0.0% |
| Elsa Balton | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 18.5% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Kip Wanaselja | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 28.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Lipari | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Moran | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ari Tessitore | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 11.1% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.