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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.71+8.05vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+11.40vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.81+5.56vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.55+1.29vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+10.38vs Predicted
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6Santa Clara University1.01+11.25vs Predicted
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7Oregon State University0.21+14.08vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38+2.59vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.36+1.48vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.23+1.43vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86+2.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.76-3.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-5.10vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.53-8.74vs Predicted
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15Santa Barbara City College1.82-1.89vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon1.18+0.52vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.34-1.22vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California2.47-8.17vs Predicted
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19University of California at Berkeley1.31-2.99vs Predicted
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20University of Pennsylvania1.87-6.84vs Predicted
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21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-12.48vs Predicted
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22Oregon State University0.21-0.92vs Predicted
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23Western Washington University0.28-2.84vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.55vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles0.92-7.04vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-0.84-1.80vs Predicted
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27University of California at Irvine0.08-5.89vs Predicted
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28Texas A&M University-0.71-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.05Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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13.4University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.0%1st Place
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8.56Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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5.29College of Charleston3.550.1%1st Place
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15.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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17.25Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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21.08Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.59Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Hawaii2.360.0%1st Place
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11.43Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.08Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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5.26Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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13.11Santa Barbara City College1.820.0%1st Place
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16.52University of Oregon1.180.0%1st Place
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15.78University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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9.83University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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16.01University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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21.08Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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20.16Western Washington University0.280.0%1st Place
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20.45University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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17.96University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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24.2University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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21.11University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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23.86Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Cappetta | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Weitz | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Willard | 15.0% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Shadden | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 15.0% | 13.7% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Day | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 11.1% | 19.3% | 39.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 21.2% | 32.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.