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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.81+7.60vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.71+7.02vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.47+7.36vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+3.81vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.86+8.03vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+5.07vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.53-1.72vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+5.36vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.49vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.55-4.52vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.30vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon1.18+4.57vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.87+0.10vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+1.36vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.38-4.76vs Predicted
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16Santa Barbara City College1.82-2.74vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University1.01+0.42vs Predicted
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18Oregon State University0.21+2.96vs Predicted
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19Oregon State University0.21+1.96vs Predicted
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20University of Hawaii2.36-9.48vs Predicted
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21Western Washington University0.28-0.15vs Predicted
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22University of Wisconsin1.34-6.39vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.71vs Predicted
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24University of California at Irvine0.08-2.88vs Predicted
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25University of California at Berkeley1.31-8.99vs Predicted
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26University of California at San Diego-0.84-1.84vs Predicted
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27University of California at Los Angeles0.92-9.57vs Predicted
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28Texas A&M University-0.71-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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9.02Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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13.03Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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11.07Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.28Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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13.36University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.0%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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5.48College of Charleston3.550.1%1st Place
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8.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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16.57University of Oregon1.180.0%1st Place
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13.1University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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15.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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10.24Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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13.26Santa Barbara City College1.820.0%1st Place
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17.42Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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20.96Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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20.96Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Hawaii2.360.0%1st Place
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20.85Western Washington University0.280.0%1st Place
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15.61University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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20.29University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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21.12University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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16.01University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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24.16University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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17.43University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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23.87Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Welsh | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 3.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Weitz | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Willard | 14.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Day | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Shadden | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 18.7% | 39.5% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 20.3% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.