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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.81+1.47vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.87+2.17vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.24+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon1.97-0.29vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.02-1.36vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.14-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.60-1.59vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-0.60-0.98vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.80-4.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.47University of Washington2.810.3%1st Place
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4.17Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.27Western Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.71University of Oregon1.970.2%1st Place
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3.64Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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5.32Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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6.41University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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8.02University of Puget Sound-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.97Western Washington University0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Darrin | 34.9% | 24.9% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 9.8% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Matt Marquardt | 6.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 16.7% | 12.7% | 4.8% |
| Andrew Balter | 15.9% | 16.1% | 16.8% | 18.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Bryan Rust | 17.3% | 18.8% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Angela Gossom | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 13.6% | 5.0% |
| Jake Antles | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 18.3% | 27.6% | 13.1% |
| Aidan Meacham | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 14.7% | 64.1% |
| Sara Welsh | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 21.2% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.