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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.55+4.43vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.81+6.23vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+10.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+8.76vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.87+7.63vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.53-0.90vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+0.59vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.71+0.63vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.76-0.75vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38+0.33vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.01+6.19vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon1.18+4.27vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+2.19vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-3.41vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.74vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.34-0.61vs Predicted
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17University of Southern California2.47-7.29vs Predicted
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18Santa Barbara City College1.82-5.12vs Predicted
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19University of Hawaii0.99-1.69vs Predicted
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20Oregon State University0.21+0.93vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.61vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-0.84+1.84vs Predicted
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23University of California at Irvine0.08-2.04vs Predicted
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24University of California at Berkeley1.31-8.32vs Predicted
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25Texas A&M University-0.71-1.26vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-5.80vs Predicted
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27Western Washington University0.28-6.71vs Predicted
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28Oregon State University0.21-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43College of Charleston3.550.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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13.21Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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12.76University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.0%1st Place
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12.63University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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5.1Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.63Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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10.33Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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17.19Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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16.27University of Oregon1.180.0%1st Place
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15.19Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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10.59Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.26Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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15.39University of Wisconsin1.340.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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12.88Santa Barbara City College1.820.0%1st Place
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17.31University of Hawaii0.990.0%1st Place
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20.93Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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17.39University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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23.84University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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20.96University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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15.68University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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23.74Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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20.2University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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20.29Western Washington University0.280.0%1st Place
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20.93Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Willard | 14.2% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Weitz | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 13.6% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Shadden | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Day | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leslie Poole | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 19.8% | 34.9% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 21.8% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.