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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.38+9.43vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.55+3.26vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+4.91vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.23+6.78vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.53+0.26vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.31vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.87+5.78vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+7.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+3.95vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.81-1.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.76-2.83vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon1.18+4.28vs Predicted
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13Fordham University2.71-4.49vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.86-1.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.31+0.38vs Predicted
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16Santa Barbara City College1.82-3.13vs Predicted
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17Santa Clara University1.01+0.10vs Predicted
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18Oregon State University0.21+2.76vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California2.47-9.33vs Predicted
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20University of California at Irvine0.08+1.41vs Predicted
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21University of Wisconsin1.27-5.43vs Predicted
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22Western Washington University0.28-2.10vs Predicted
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23University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.79vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles0.92-6.37vs Predicted
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25Texas A&M University-0.71-1.28vs Predicted
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26University of Hawaii0.99-9.16vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-0.84-2.91vs Predicted
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28Oregon State University0.21-7.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.43Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.26College of Charleston3.550.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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10.78Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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5.26Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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8.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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15.43Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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12.95University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.0%1st Place
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8.24Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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16.28University of Oregon1.180.0%1st Place
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8.51Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.54Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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15.38University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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12.87Santa Barbara City College1.820.0%1st Place
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17.1Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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20.76Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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21.41University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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15.57University of Wisconsin1.270.0%1st Place
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19.9Western Washington University0.280.0%1st Place
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20.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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17.63University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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23.72Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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16.84University of Hawaii0.990.0%1st Place
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24.09University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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20.76Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Woloshyn | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Willard | 12.8% | 15.6% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 14.9% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Weitz | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Day | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Shadden | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 12.9% | 19.7% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 37.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.