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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.9%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+4.43vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+13.38vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.38+7.41vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.55+1.09vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.27+10.67vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.81+2.01vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.87+5.70vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+5.04vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon1.18+7.44vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71-1.22vs Predicted
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11University of Southern California2.47-1.28vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley1.31+3.53vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-5.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.71vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University0.21+5.63vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-5.29vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.86-4.24vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University0.28+2.41vs Predicted
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19Santa Clara University1.01-1.83vs Predicted
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20U. S. Naval Academy2.76-11.61vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles0.92-3.68vs Predicted
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22Santa Barbara City College1.82-9.55vs Predicted
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23University of Hawaii0.99-6.26vs Predicted
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24Texas A&M University-0.71-0.10vs Predicted
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25Oregon State University0.21-4.37vs Predicted
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26University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-5.63vs Predicted
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27University of California at Irvine0.08-6.15vs Predicted
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28University of California at San Diego-0.84-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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15.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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10.41Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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5.09College of Charleston3.550.2%1st Place
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15.67University of Wisconsin1.270.0%1st Place
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8.01Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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12.7University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.0%1st Place
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16.44University of Oregon1.180.0%1st Place
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8.78Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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15.53University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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7.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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20.63Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.71Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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12.76Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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20.41Western Washington University0.280.0%1st Place
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17.17Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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17.32University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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12.45Santa Barbara City College1.820.0%1st Place
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16.74University of Hawaii0.990.0%1st Place
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23.9Texas A&M University-0.710.0%1st Place
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20.63Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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20.37University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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20.85University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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24.07University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 12.7% | 14.0% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Willard | 15.5% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Weitz | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Day | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Shadden | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Frakes | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 11.3% | 22.7% | 32.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 19.8% | 36.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.