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📊 Prediction Accuracy
39.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.55+4.43vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+11.24vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81+5.42vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.86+8.75vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.53+0.31vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+1.58vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+3.18vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.81+0.26vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii0.99+8.57vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley1.31+6.16vs Predicted
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11Santa Clara University1.01+6.46vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.23-1.08vs Predicted
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13Santa Barbara City College1.82+0.19vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.71-5.73vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.87-2.33vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-0.76vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.76-8.67vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.27-1.99vs Predicted
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19University of Southern California2.47-9.26vs Predicted
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20Western Washington University0.28+0.89vs Predicted
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21Oregon State University0.21-0.08vs Predicted
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22University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.69vs Predicted
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23Texas A&M University0.45-3.36vs Predicted
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24University of California at Los Angeles0.92-6.18vs Predicted
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25University of California at San Diego-0.84-0.69vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine0.08-4.84vs Predicted
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27University of Oregon1.18-10.78vs Predicted
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28Oregon State University0.21-7.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.43College of Charleston3.550.1%1st Place
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13.24University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.0%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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12.75Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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5.31Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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10.18Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.26Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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17.57University of Hawaii0.990.0%1st Place
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16.16University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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17.46Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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10.92Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.19Santa Barbara City College1.820.0%1st Place
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8.27Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.67University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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15.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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16.01University of Wisconsin1.270.0%1st Place
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9.74University of Southern California2.470.0%1st Place
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20.89Western Washington University0.280.0%1st Place
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20.92Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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20.31University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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19.64Texas A&M University0.450.0%1st Place
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17.82University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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24.31University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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21.16University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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16.22University of Oregon1.180.0%1st Place
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20.92Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Willard | 13.7% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Weitz | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 16.1% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Shadden | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Suarez | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 15.6% | 48.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 14.0% | 12.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Day | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.