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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
6.1
Avg Position Diff
28
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.92+16.99vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.53+3.44vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii0.99+14.82vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47+5.71vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.55+0.23vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.87+6.66vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+5.99vs Predicted
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8Santa Barbara City College1.82+5.31vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.31+6.85vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.81-1.67vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.86+1.83vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.81-3.80vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39+2.38vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.76-5.88vs Predicted
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15Oregon State University0.21+5.88vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-5.92vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-9.26vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.27-2.08vs Predicted
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19Western Washington University0.28+1.81vs Predicted
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20Santa Clara University1.01-2.51vs Predicted
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21Tufts University2.23-10.25vs Predicted
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23Fordham University2.71-14.81vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-3.52vs Predicted
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25University of Oregon1.18-8.43vs Predicted
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26University of California at Irvine0.08-4.71vs Predicted
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27University of California at San Diego-0.84-2.84vs Predicted
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28Texas A&M University0.45-8.21vs Predicted
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29Oregon State University0.21-8.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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17.99University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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5.44Georgetown University3.530.1%1st Place
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17.82University of Hawaii0.990.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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5.23College of Charleston3.550.2%1st Place
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12.66University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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12.99University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.0%1st Place
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13.31Santa Barbara City College1.820.0%1st Place
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15.85University of California at Berkeley1.310.0%1st Place
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8.33Boston University2.810.1%1st Place
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12.83Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.810.1%1st Place
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15.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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8.12U. S. Naval Academy2.760.1%1st Place
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20.88Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
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10.08Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.74U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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15.92University of Wisconsin1.270.0%1st Place
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20.81Western Washington University0.280.0%1st Place
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17.49Santa Clara University1.010.0%1st Place
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10.75Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.19Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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20.48University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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16.57University of Oregon1.180.0%1st Place
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21.29University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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24.16University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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19.79Texas A&M University0.450.0%1st Place
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20.88Oregon State University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leah Ford | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 12.9% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Baxter | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Willard | 15.6% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Weitz | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Powell | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Keenan | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charles Welsh | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Ford | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jimmy Madigan | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Jamieson | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gabrielle Rigby | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
| Melissa Shadden | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Day | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 14.5% | 45.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Suarez | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Wilkinson | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 9.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.