Race 1A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Hecht 10.1% 9.9% 11.9% 11.1% 9.8% 9.8% 10.8% 8.4% 6.6% 5.0% 4.7% 1.9%
Kris Thompson 4.4% 5.9% 7.1% 7.6% 8.5% 6.4% 9.3% 8.3% 11.4% 11.1% 11.6% 8.4%
Charles Eaton IV 11.0% 9.4% 10.5% 10.6% 9.2% 9.9% 10.0% 10.6% 8.0% 5.7% 3.7% 1.4%
Giacomo Paoletti 4.9% 5.4% 7.5% 6.8% 8.7% 9.1% 8.1% 10.2% 9.9% 9.7% 11.2% 8.5%
Shannon Killian 3.8% 6.0% 4.3% 7.2% 6.6% 7.9% 7.3% 9.0% 10.3% 10.5% 13.1% 14.0%
John Silvestri 6.6% 7.2% 7.6% 6.8% 7.2% 9.6% 8.9% 10.3% 11.1% 11.3% 8.2% 5.2%
Nathan Allman 15.5% 16.6% 13.0% 11.8% 11.7% 7.6% 7.9% 6.0% 4.7% 3.6% 0.7% 0.9%
Kristopher Swanson 14.0% 12.5% 12.2% 9.9% 9.5% 10.4% 9.3% 6.8% 6.1% 4.6% 3.2% 1.5%
Ben Brough 2.9% 2.4% 2.4% 3.6% 5.8% 6.1% 6.2% 7.7% 9.6% 11.7% 15.8% 25.8%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 17.2% 15.6% 15.9% 11.2% 10.8% 9.4% 7.1% 5.2% 3.5% 2.2% 1.6% 0.3%
Caitlin Schadt 3.2% 3.4% 2.7% 4.6% 4.0% 5.5% 6.3% 7.3% 8.7% 13.4% 15.4% 25.5%
Cuylar Zimmerman 6.4% 5.7% 4.9% 8.8% 8.2% 8.3% 8.8% 10.2% 10.1% 11.2% 10.8% 6.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.