Race 2A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Eaton IV 10.2% 8.4% 10.4% 11.2% 10.6% 10.7% 9.7% 9.1% 7.4% 6.1% 4.1% 2.1%
Kris Thompson 4.4% 6.2% 5.8% 8.1% 7.1% 7.1% 8.7% 9.5% 11.3% 11.8% 11.3% 8.7%
Nathan Allman 15.8% 12.6% 14.9% 11.6% 10.0% 11.3% 7.9% 6.7% 4.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.7%
Shannon Killian 4.1% 4.2% 4.6% 6.8% 5.8% 8.4% 9.5% 9.1% 8.4% 12.7% 13.6% 12.8%
Kristopher Swanson 11.3% 14.1% 13.1% 10.1% 9.9% 8.8% 8.9% 7.4% 6.1% 5.3% 3.4% 1.6%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 17.4% 15.1% 14.8% 11.9% 11.1% 8.2% 7.0% 6.8% 3.1% 2.7% 1.5% 0.4%
Matthew Hecht 11.4% 11.2% 13.2% 8.7% 10.0% 9.7% 9.6% 7.7% 8.3% 5.3% 3.2% 1.7%
John Silvestri 7.5% 9.4% 5.5% 8.2% 7.9% 9.1% 8.2% 9.1% 10.1% 10.7% 8.2% 6.1%
Giacomo Paoletti 5.1% 5.9% 6.9% 8.5% 8.9% 10.0% 8.8% 8.3% 11.4% 9.9% 10.2% 6.1%
Ben Brough 3.6% 3.6% 2.9% 3.8% 4.2% 4.2% 7.2% 7.0% 8.5% 10.3% 16.9% 27.8%
Caitlin Schadt 2.9% 3.0% 2.7% 4.2% 5.3% 5.1% 6.0% 7.8% 10.3% 11.3% 15.7% 25.7%
Cuylar Zimmerman 6.3% 6.3% 5.2% 6.9% 9.2% 7.4% 8.5% 11.5% 10.7% 11.2% 10.5% 6.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.