Race 3A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charles Eaton IV 10.5% 11.0% 10.2% 10.7% 10.1% 10.7% 9.6% 9.2% 7.3% 5.0% 3.7% 2.0%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 16.7% 16.4% 14.5% 15.1% 10.1% 8.6% 7.0% 5.0% 3.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
John Silvestri 7.7% 6.7% 7.2% 8.9% 7.0% 10.1% 10.3% 10.1% 10.0% 9.7% 6.9% 5.4%
Matthew Hecht 9.4% 12.8% 12.5% 11.3% 10.5% 10.3% 9.2% 7.0% 7.1% 5.2% 3.0% 1.7%
Giacomo Paoletti 6.1% 5.9% 8.4% 7.0% 8.9% 8.5% 8.0% 11.2% 8.2% 11.4% 9.6% 6.8%
Caitlin Schadt 3.3% 3.4% 4.3% 5.9% 4.1% 4.5% 7.2% 8.4% 9.9% 11.0% 16.6% 21.4%
Cuylar Zimmerman 6.5% 7.1% 8.0% 8.0% 9.1% 8.8% 9.7% 8.1% 11.7% 8.9% 7.5% 6.6%
Patrick Shanahan 21.6% 17.9% 14.8% 10.6% 10.2% 9.4% 5.9% 4.0% 2.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Kris Thompson 4.5% 6.2% 7.0% 8.8% 8.6% 8.5% 10.4% 9.5% 9.7% 10.5% 9.5% 6.8%
Shannon Killian 4.8% 6.0% 5.3% 5.6% 7.1% 7.6% 9.4% 10.3% 10.7% 10.4% 11.4% 11.4%
Ben Brough 3.2% 2.3% 3.4% 3.5% 5.4% 4.7% 5.7% 7.9% 9.3% 11.9% 16.1% 26.6%
Ginger Luckey 5.7% 4.3% 4.4% 4.6% 8.9% 8.3% 7.6% 9.3% 10.2% 12.1% 13.9% 10.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.