Race 4A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Giacomo Paoletti 6.3% 5.6% 6.7% 7.7% 7.6% 8.8% 9.4% 10.7% 9.8% 11.1% 9.7% 6.6%
Charles Eaton IV 9.4% 12.4% 10.4% 10.5% 11.0% 12.1% 7.7% 9.3% 7.2% 5.5% 3.6% 0.9%
Matthew Hecht 12.4% 9.8% 11.2% 11.5% 10.0% 10.2% 9.3% 9.7% 7.0% 4.8% 3.2% 0.9%
John Silvestri 5.9% 6.5% 9.0% 9.2% 9.1% 10.6% 10.2% 8.2% 8.7% 7.8% 9.1% 5.7%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 17.0% 17.9% 14.4% 12.3% 10.8% 8.3% 7.7% 4.0% 3.6% 2.6% 0.9% 0.5%
Patrick Shanahan 19.6% 17.9% 15.4% 12.9% 10.6% 7.2% 6.5% 4.7% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Ginger Luckey 5.4% 4.9% 6.3% 6.5% 7.3% 7.1% 8.0% 9.0% 10.4% 11.5% 11.6% 12.0%
Cuylar Zimmerman 6.9% 7.8% 7.2% 8.0% 7.4% 9.0% 9.5% 9.3% 9.6% 10.8% 8.6% 5.9%
Shannon Killian 4.5% 4.6% 6.5% 6.8% 8.3% 7.5% 8.2% 10.1% 11.0% 11.3% 11.5% 9.7%
Kris Thompson 6.3% 6.0% 6.4% 7.1% 8.7% 8.0% 7.9% 10.3% 11.4% 10.0% 10.2% 7.7%
Caitlin Schadt 3.2% 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 5.4% 5.7% 7.9% 7.1% 9.6% 11.7% 16.8% 21.9%
Ben Brough 3.1% 3.8% 2.6% 3.5% 3.8% 5.5% 7.7% 7.6% 9.1% 11.3% 14.1% 27.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.