Race 5A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lucas Ryder 0.4% 1.4% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 2.4% 2.7% 2.9% 4.9% 6.5% 11.5% 63.0%
Charles Eaton IV 10.2% 12.7% 11.4% 12.4% 11.5% 10.3% 8.4% 9.8% 6.7% 4.0% 2.2% 0.4%
Shannon Killian 5.8% 5.1% 5.9% 6.6% 8.0% 7.0% 8.4% 10.9% 12.0% 13.5% 12.1% 4.7%
Giacomo Paoletti 6.2% 5.9% 8.2% 8.8% 9.4% 9.9% 9.6% 11.0% 10.6% 8.6% 9.4% 2.4%
Matthew Hecht 12.6% 11.6% 12.6% 11.2% 10.2% 10.7% 10.0% 7.8% 5.5% 4.2% 2.8% 0.8%
Caitlin Schadt 3.6% 4.2% 3.9% 6.2% 5.1% 5.5% 8.2% 8.1% 11.2% 15.6% 18.4% 10.0%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 19.9% 18.6% 14.9% 11.1% 10.4% 8.9% 7.4% 4.2% 2.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Cuylar Zimmerman 7.5% 8.7% 6.5% 9.3% 7.7% 9.9% 10.1% 10.5% 10.3% 9.5% 7.1% 2.9%
John Silvestri 7.0% 7.4% 9.7% 9.5% 10.9% 10.3% 10.4% 10.2% 9.9% 8.0% 5.5% 1.2%
Kris Thompson 6.9% 6.4% 7.2% 8.2% 8.5% 7.9% 9.1% 11.4% 12.7% 9.9% 9.1% 2.7%
Nathan Allman 16.1% 14.3% 16.1% 11.3% 12.0% 9.8% 8.1% 5.3% 3.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Ben Brough 3.8% 3.7% 2.4% 4.1% 4.5% 7.4% 7.6% 7.9% 10.4% 15.8% 20.8% 11.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.