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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.81+1.48vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University2.02+1.86vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.87+1.02vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.24+1.11vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon1.97-1.26vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.80-0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.60-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Puget Sound-0.60-0.96vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.14-4.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.48University of Washington2.810.3%1st Place
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3.86Western Washington University2.020.1%1st Place
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4.02Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.11Western Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Oregon1.970.2%1st Place
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5.99Western Washington University0.800.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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8.04University of Puget Sound-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.36Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Darrin | 34.6% | 24.3% | 17.7% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Rust | 12.2% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Paul Foley | 13.6% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Matt Marquardt | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 4.7% |
| Andrew Balter | 15.8% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Sara Welsh | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 20.5% | 9.9% |
| Jake Antles | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 26.5% | 13.4% |
| Aidan Meacham | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 14.4% | 64.1% |
| Angela Gossom | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.