Race 6A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Giacomo Paoletti 6.9% 5.6% 7.6% 8.0% 8.2% 11.1% 10.1% 10.1% 10.0% 11.2% 8.8% 2.4%
Shannon Killian 4.4% 5.2% 6.7% 7.1% 8.2% 7.4% 9.7% 11.6% 11.6% 11.3% 12.1% 4.7%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 19.1% 18.0% 14.0% 14.3% 10.6% 9.2% 5.8% 4.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
John Silvestri 7.0% 7.8% 9.6% 8.5% 9.0% 11.7% 9.8% 9.9% 9.2% 8.7% 7.0% 1.8%
Nathan Allman 16.2% 18.9% 13.4% 11.2% 11.0% 10.0% 7.3% 5.0% 3.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.4%
Charles Eaton IV 12.5% 10.6% 12.2% 11.2% 12.1% 8.3% 11.9% 8.1% 5.9% 4.1% 2.6% 0.5%
Caitlin Schadt 4.3% 4.1% 5.0% 5.1% 6.6% 6.2% 7.5% 9.1% 10.4% 15.3% 17.5% 8.9%
Ben Brough 3.4% 4.5% 4.7% 4.9% 4.6% 6.4% 6.1% 9.4% 10.1% 12.9% 19.2% 13.8%
Lucas Ryder 0.9% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.7% 7.2% 7.2% 12.9% 60.4%
Matthew Hecht 12.9% 11.9% 13.2% 11.6% 11.4% 9.7% 9.2% 8.1% 5.1% 4.5% 1.8% 0.6%
Kris Thompson 5.5% 5.8% 6.4% 7.8% 8.3% 9.0% 9.7% 10.5% 13.2% 10.4% 9.9% 3.5%
Cuylar Zimmerman 6.9% 6.7% 6.5% 9.2% 8.2% 9.3% 10.4% 11.5% 10.6% 10.6% 7.2% 2.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.