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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+7.95vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.93+2.41vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+0.25vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21+2.35vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii2.32+1.08vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-3.03vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.36-2.12vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii2.89-4.56vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.08-3.17vs Predicted
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12University of Washington2.25-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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4.01Brown University3.480.2%1st Place
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5.41University of Southern California2.930.1%1st Place
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4.25Brown University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.35Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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7.08University of Hawaii2.320.1%1st Place
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8.47University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Hawaii2.360.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Hawaii2.890.1%1st Place
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7.83Salve Regina University2.080.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brough | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 27.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 17.2% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Hecht | 11.1% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 16.1% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 14.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% |
| Giacomo Paoletti | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 3.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 18.1% | 21.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Cuylar Zimmerman | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% |
| Charles Eaton IV | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Shannon Killian | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 12.9% |
| Kris Thompson | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.