Race 8A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

0.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Patrick Shanahan 17.4% 15.9% 15.7% 13.8% 11.3% 8.2% 6.8% 4.1% 3.6% 1.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Charles Eaton IV 9.3% 10.6% 10.5% 10.6% 10.6% 9.8% 9.6% 9.7% 8.5% 5.8% 3.9% 1.1%
Matthew Hecht 11.9% 9.0% 10.4% 11.7% 8.7% 11.0% 9.5% 10.2% 7.7% 5.8% 3.0% 1.1%
Giacomo Paoletti 4.7% 5.4% 6.5% 9.6% 7.0% 7.9% 10.2% 9.9% 11.8% 10.2% 8.3% 8.5%
Sean Beaulieu 4.9% 6.1% 5.6% 5.5% 9.0% 7.5% 8.2% 9.2% 10.8% 11.3% 11.3% 10.6%
Ben Brough 2.7% 2.9% 3.7% 3.8% 4.9% 4.7% 4.5% 7.7% 8.8% 11.5% 16.5% 28.3%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 17.1% 17.2% 13.8% 11.5% 10.7% 8.5% 7.8% 5.4% 3.8% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Kristopher Swanson 13.9% 13.5% 11.5% 9.2% 10.7% 10.2% 9.3% 7.1% 5.8% 4.6% 2.1% 2.1%
Cuylar Zimmerman 4.9% 5.7% 8.1% 8.6% 8.8% 8.4% 11.5% 8.6% 10.3% 10.8% 9.7% 4.6%
Shannon Killian 5.3% 4.6% 5.1% 5.7% 7.8% 7.3% 7.0% 9.6% 10.2% 12.9% 12.9% 11.6%
Kris Thompson 4.3% 5.4% 6.3% 6.6% 6.3% 9.2% 9.5% 9.4% 10.4% 10.6% 12.6% 9.4%
Caitlin Schadt 3.6% 3.7% 2.8% 3.4% 4.2% 7.3% 6.1% 9.1% 8.3% 12.1% 17.3% 22.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.