Race 9A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Hecht 11.4% 9.8% 12.6% 12.6% 10.6% 9.4% 10.7% 7.9% 5.3% 5.1% 3.2% 1.4%
Charles Eaton IV 11.1% 11.9% 12.4% 9.9% 11.3% 9.3% 8.7% 10.6% 6.3% 4.6% 2.7% 1.2%
Giacomo Paoletti 7.5% 5.7% 7.2% 7.1% 8.0% 8.8% 9.1% 9.9% 11.3% 10.4% 8.9% 6.1%
Ben Brough 2.3% 2.9% 3.4% 5.1% 5.3% 5.2% 7.1% 6.7% 10.4% 11.4% 14.0% 26.2%
Nathan Allman 15.8% 17.4% 14.8% 11.5% 10.0% 9.9% 7.1% 4.8% 4.0% 2.6% 1.6% 0.5%
Ginger Luckey 4.3% 5.9% 7.1% 4.9% 5.4% 7.5% 9.3% 8.9% 10.3% 11.8% 13.2% 11.4%
Kris Thompson 6.5% 6.7% 6.9% 8.3% 9.4% 8.0% 7.8% 9.2% 9.4% 10.5% 9.2% 8.1%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 21.0% 17.0% 12.5% 13.6% 8.2% 9.8% 7.5% 4.2% 2.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.5%
Sean Beaulieu 4.5% 6.5% 7.3% 8.4% 9.1% 9.6% 8.5% 9.7% 8.5% 11.7% 9.8% 6.4%
Shannon Killian 5.1% 6.3% 5.8% 5.6% 7.8% 7.8% 8.7% 9.8% 11.4% 8.8% 12.6% 10.3%
Caitlin Schadt 3.5% 3.4% 3.3% 4.8% 5.8% 4.6% 7.9% 8.6% 9.5% 11.2% 14.2% 23.2%
Cuylar Zimmerman 7.0% 6.5% 6.7% 8.2% 9.1% 10.1% 7.6% 9.7% 10.7% 10.4% 9.3% 4.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.