Race 10A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 17.5% 16.0% 16.2% 12.5% 10.9% 8.5% 6.6% 5.2% 3.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.3%
Nathan Allman 16.3% 15.7% 14.8% 13.5% 8.1% 9.7% 8.4% 5.2% 3.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.4%
Matthew Hecht 12.5% 10.5% 11.3% 11.9% 10.5% 10.8% 9.7% 8.8% 6.3% 4.4% 2.4% 0.9%
Ginger Luckey 4.1% 4.4% 6.1% 6.7% 7.5% 8.5% 7.9% 8.4% 11.1% 11.1% 12.7% 11.5%
Shannon Killian 5.1% 6.1% 5.4% 6.4% 7.8% 7.5% 7.2% 10.4% 9.9% 11.3% 10.2% 12.7%
Kris Thompson 6.2% 6.8% 6.4% 6.8% 7.2% 8.2% 9.2% 10.7% 10.3% 10.4% 9.8% 8.0%
Giacomo Paoletti 6.7% 8.8% 6.9% 7.9% 8.7% 8.6% 8.4% 10.2% 9.2% 9.3% 9.0% 6.3%
Cuylar Zimmerman 8.0% 7.4% 8.0% 7.9% 7.5% 9.2% 9.7% 8.1% 10.0% 9.2% 8.9% 6.1%
Sean Beaulieu 5.0% 5.9% 7.0% 7.9% 9.2% 8.2% 10.2% 9.6% 10.2% 9.4% 11.5% 5.9%
Ben Brough 3.6% 3.6% 4.3% 3.8% 4.5% 5.7% 6.5% 7.2% 8.4% 13.1% 14.6% 24.7%
Charles Eaton IV 11.2% 10.7% 10.7% 10.4% 12.3% 8.4% 9.8% 8.4% 7.4% 4.6% 4.1% 2.0%
Caitlin Schadt 3.8% 4.1% 2.9% 4.3% 5.8% 6.7% 6.4% 7.8% 10.5% 11.8% 14.7% 21.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.