Race 11A

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Hecht 10.4% 11.8% 11.5% 11.9% 13.1% 9.7% 10.4% 8.6% 5.3% 4.4% 2.6% 0.3%
Charles Eaton IV 11.0% 11.2% 11.5% 12.3% 12.5% 9.3% 9.2% 10.2% 6.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
John Silvestri 7.8% 6.9% 8.0% 7.8% 9.4% 10.9% 11.6% 9.4% 13.0% 7.8% 6.1% 1.3%
Kris Thompson 5.1% 6.1% 7.1% 8.7% 8.3% 10.4% 9.4% 10.9% 10.7% 10.7% 9.9% 2.7%
Patrick Shanahan 21.0% 17.9% 16.5% 10.8% 11.7% 8.4% 4.4% 4.2% 2.7% 1.3% 1.1% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 4.9% 5.6% 6.7% 6.7% 5.6% 8.6% 10.5% 9.0% 12.3% 13.7% 11.0% 5.4%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 18.6% 18.1% 15.5% 13.2% 8.5% 8.7% 7.8% 5.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Cuylar Zimmerman 7.5% 7.6% 7.4% 8.5% 9.3% 9.7% 9.6% 10.1% 10.9% 10.2% 5.9% 3.3%
Ben Brough 2.8% 2.6% 4.5% 3.2% 6.8% 6.2% 7.6% 10.5% 10.7% 15.6% 19.2% 10.3%
Giacomo Paoletti 6.8% 7.4% 7.0% 9.4% 8.3% 10.0% 9.5% 10.2% 11.6% 9.8% 7.4% 2.6%
Caitlin Schadt 3.4% 3.2% 3.7% 5.9% 4.6% 5.8% 8.3% 9.3% 10.7% 14.3% 20.1% 10.7%
Lucas Ryder 0.7% 1.6% 0.6% 1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 1.7% 2.6% 3.7% 6.7% 14.1% 62.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.