Race 12A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Patrick Shanahan 21.2% 15.6% 16.6% 13.1% 10.0% 9.5% 6.0% 4.1% 2.0% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Charles Eaton IV 10.7% 12.0% 10.8% 10.9% 11.7% 11.2% 9.3% 8.4% 6.3% 4.8% 2.5% 1.2% 0.2%
John Silvestri 5.1% 7.9% 8.5% 8.7% 9.8% 8.8% 10.3% 13.0% 9.7% 7.8% 7.3% 2.6% 0.5%
Giacomo Paoletti 5.7% 6.7% 6.4% 9.5% 9.9% 8.9% 9.9% 9.1% 10.6% 9.8% 8.7% 3.7% 1.1%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 18.4% 17.9% 14.2% 12.5% 10.6% 9.3% 6.7% 5.1% 2.3% 1.6% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Shannon Killian 5.8% 5.0% 6.7% 5.6% 7.1% 8.5% 8.9% 10.4% 13.3% 9.4% 10.4% 7.3% 1.6%
Kris Thompson 7.1% 6.3% 7.0% 7.4% 8.8% 7.5% 10.7% 9.3% 10.4% 11.1% 9.1% 4.4% 0.9%
Cuylar Zimmerman 6.7% 7.9% 6.9% 7.8% 7.7% 11.2% 10.5% 10.9% 10.0% 9.6% 6.3% 3.5% 1.0%
Ben Brough 2.8% 3.9% 3.2% 5.0% 4.6% 4.1% 7.0% 8.2% 9.7% 13.5% 17.7% 14.9% 5.4%
Matthew Hecht 11.8% 12.4% 11.9% 12.0% 10.2% 9.7% 9.7% 7.2% 6.1% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Caitlin Schadt 3.0% 3.2% 5.5% 5.5% 5.9% 7.8% 6.2% 9.9% 11.3% 13.4% 13.6% 10.3% 4.4%
Joren Jackson 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8% 2.2% 1.4% 2.8% 2.9% 4.1% 5.7% 9.3% 24.9% 43.4%
Lucas Ryder 1.0% 0.3% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 2.0% 1.5% 4.2% 6.7% 10.9% 25.9% 41.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.