Race 1B

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
John Coakley 11.4% 9.8% 12.0% 12.2% 11.7% 11.5% 9.2% 8.4% 7.3% 3.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.2%
Brett Farrell 1.7% 0.9% 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 3.0% 4.3% 5.0% 6.8% 10.4% 15.6% 30.8% 15.4%
James Barry 18.4% 18.5% 14.2% 13.5% 12.8% 9.3% 5.8% 3.9% 2.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 13.0% 11.6% 13.8% 12.9% 11.8% 11.3% 9.2% 7.9% 4.8% 3.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Soren Wilde 10.1% 12.6% 11.7% 10.3% 10.3% 12.1% 11.5% 8.7% 5.5% 4.0% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Michael Pacholski 8.4% 8.1% 9.5% 10.0% 10.8% 10.9% 10.7% 10.7% 8.2% 6.3% 4.2% 2.0% 0.2%
Louise Currie 5.5% 4.5% 6.9% 6.4% 6.9% 9.0% 8.9% 12.3% 11.4% 12.4% 9.4% 5.8% 0.6%
David Cornella 3.7% 5.1% 3.7% 5.6% 5.9% 7.3% 9.9% 10.5% 13.3% 14.1% 12.6% 7.0% 1.3%
Connor Hughes 3.0% 2.3% 3.0% 3.3% 5.5% 3.4% 6.9% 7.1% 11.9% 12.6% 18.6% 16.8% 5.6%
Sophie Hibben 19.0% 19.1% 15.5% 12.6% 10.6% 7.5% 6.0% 5.1% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jennifer Killian 3.3% 4.0% 5.5% 7.0% 5.5% 7.9% 10.3% 11.4% 12.8% 12.8% 10.0% 7.1% 2.4%
Cameron Baxter 2.2% 3.0% 2.5% 3.8% 4.7% 5.7% 6.1% 7.7% 10.8% 14.7% 18.0% 15.0% 5.8%
Joshua Steward 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.3% 1.8% 3.6% 6.6% 13.8% 68.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.