Race 2B

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Soren Wilde 10.7% 11.8% 10.8% 10.4% 11.3% 13.1% 10.5% 8.5% 5.6% 4.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
John Coakley 11.7% 9.1% 13.3% 10.5% 12.1% 11.4% 11.8% 7.3% 7.2% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Louise Currie 3.7% 4.0% 5.3% 7.4% 7.4% 8.0% 10.6% 11.9% 12.8% 13.0% 9.1% 5.7% 1.1%
Michael Pacholski 6.5% 8.9% 9.8% 9.1% 10.9% 10.9% 10.1% 10.9% 9.7% 8.1% 4.0% 0.8% 0.3%
James Barry 20.2% 20.4% 13.0% 14.3% 9.3% 9.1% 5.8% 4.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophie Hibben 19.2% 18.1% 14.8% 15.3% 10.6% 7.3% 6.4% 4.4% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Baxter 2.9% 3.4% 2.9% 4.0% 5.8% 5.4% 6.6% 7.2% 10.9% 14.7% 16.8% 15.7% 3.7%
Sam Shannon 13.7% 12.1% 14.7% 12.0% 11.9% 12.3% 8.7% 6.4% 4.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Brett Farrell 1.2% 1.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.1% 3.0% 3.6% 5.1% 6.0% 10.1% 15.4% 31.9% 15.8%
Jennifer Killian 4.3% 4.6% 3.9% 5.5% 5.5% 7.1% 9.7% 12.3% 11.4% 11.7% 13.5% 7.3% 3.2%
David Cornella 3.4% 3.6% 5.3% 6.0% 7.3% 7.4% 9.7% 11.1% 13.6% 13.3% 11.5% 5.8% 2.0%
Connor Hughes 2.1% 1.9% 4.1% 2.8% 5.3% 3.4% 5.8% 9.3% 10.4% 13.8% 17.8% 17.6% 5.7%
Joshua Steward 0.4% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.6% 0.7% 1.3% 2.5% 3.5% 6.9% 13.7% 67.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.