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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Oregon1.22+4.05vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.87+2.00vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.60+3.24vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.02-0.53vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.24-0.13vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University0.80-0.17vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.14-1.78vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.81-6.62vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound-0.60-2.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05University of Oregon1.220.1%1st Place
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4.0Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.24University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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3.47Western Washington University2.020.2%1st Place
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4.87Western Washington University1.240.1%1st Place
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5.83Western Washington University0.800.0%1st Place
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5.22Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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2.38University of Washington2.810.4%1st Place
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7.94University of Puget Sound-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cara Kuhlman | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 15.1% | 12.0% | 4.0% |
| Paul Foley | 11.1% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Jake Antles | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 23.7% | 14.3% |
| Bryan Rust | 17.3% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Matt Marquardt | 8.4% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 4.6% |
| Sara Welsh | 4.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 19.3% | 17.5% | 9.3% |
| Angela Gossom | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 16.5% | 15.5% | 13.2% | 4.6% |
| Hannah Darrin | 39.4% | 22.5% | 14.7% | 12.7% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Meacham | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 15.1% | 61.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.