Race 4B

peter-wenner-rainbow-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Soren Wilde 11.2% 10.7% 11.6% 12.0% 10.3% 12.5% 9.2% 8.2% 7.9% 3.9% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1%
Louise Currie 4.8% 4.4% 5.8% 8.4% 6.2% 7.1% 11.1% 11.1% 13.2% 12.5% 9.8% 4.2% 1.4%
Sam Alexander 15.1% 15.2% 15.7% 11.8% 12.3% 10.2% 7.6% 5.4% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.2%
Sophie Hibben 20.0% 17.8% 15.1% 12.4% 12.3% 8.8% 6.5% 3.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 14.2% 13.7% 12.7% 12.4% 11.7% 11.1% 9.0% 6.5% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Pacholski 8.3% 9.3% 8.9% 10.2% 11.0% 11.3% 10.7% 9.9% 7.8% 7.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.3%
John Coakley 13.1% 11.1% 10.8% 11.2% 12.2% 10.1% 10.2% 8.0% 6.6% 4.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Cameron Baxter 2.3% 3.1% 3.7% 4.5% 3.4% 5.5% 7.0% 8.3% 10.0% 16.0% 17.6% 14.9% 3.7%
Brett Farrell 1.0% 2.3% 2.4% 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 4.8% 6.0% 8.7% 16.8% 31.8% 15.7%
Jennifer Killian 4.5% 4.0% 4.4% 5.4% 6.1% 7.4% 8.3% 12.1% 12.8% 10.9% 13.5% 7.6% 3.0%
David Cornella 3.4% 4.9% 5.4% 5.9% 6.6% 7.1% 9.9% 12.3% 12.1% 13.0% 11.1% 6.1% 2.2%
Connor Hughes 1.8% 3.1% 3.0% 3.8% 4.6% 4.5% 6.3% 8.1% 9.8% 14.9% 16.2% 17.7% 6.2%
Joshua Steward 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.8% 1.5% 1.0% 1.7% 2.6% 3.5% 5.4% 15.0% 67.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.