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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.63+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+3.77vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.42+2.05vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.59+2.00vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California2.47-1.11vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.02-3.30vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.39-0.41vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39-1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii0.99-1.45vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego-0.84+0.76vs Predicted
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12University of Washington0.95-3.17vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-0.85-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.77University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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3.69Brown University3.030.2%1st Place
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7.0University of Hawaii1.590.1%1st Place
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4.89University of Southern California2.470.1%1st Place
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3.7Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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7.59Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.390.0%1st Place
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7.68Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Hawaii0.990.0%1st Place
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11.76University of California at San Diego-0.840.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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11.87California State University Channel Islands-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Shannon | 12.5% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Pacholski | 7.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Soren Wilde | 10.2% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 19.9% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louise Currie | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| John Coakley | 11.4% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 19.9% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| David Cornella | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Baxter | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 20.0% | 9.2% | 2.8% |
| Hayley Chong | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 34.5% | 42.1% |
| Connor Hughes | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 20.2% | 11.9% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Steward | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 29.2% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.