Race 6B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
James Barry 19.9% 16.9% 14.8% 14.4% 12.4% 7.6% 7.4% 3.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sam Shannon 13.2% 14.1% 12.0% 12.8% 13.6% 10.8% 7.5% 8.4% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
John Coakley 9.5% 11.9% 14.3% 10.1% 11.1% 12.0% 12.2% 8.1% 5.4% 3.5% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Soren Wilde 11.6% 10.5% 10.2% 12.7% 11.6% 10.5% 10.7% 9.7% 6.6% 4.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Michael Pacholski 9.2% 7.9% 10.3% 10.0% 10.6% 10.9% 9.0% 12.2% 9.0% 6.9% 3.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Jennifer Killian 4.1% 4.5% 4.0% 5.2% 7.1% 8.3% 8.3% 10.9% 15.5% 14.5% 11.2% 5.6% 0.8%
Sophie Hibben 19.6% 17.2% 16.5% 13.5% 10.6% 9.4% 6.9% 2.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
David Cornella 3.5% 5.3% 3.6% 5.5% 5.8% 8.5% 9.9% 11.5% 14.5% 15.0% 11.9% 4.4% 0.6%
Connor Hughes 2.5% 3.0% 2.6% 4.0% 4.4% 5.1% 5.7% 8.7% 12.3% 14.9% 23.3% 10.8% 2.7%
Hayley Chong 0.3% 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.9% 2.5% 3.9% 9.9% 32.1% 44.0%
Louise Currie 4.5% 5.3% 7.9% 6.4% 7.1% 8.3% 13.0% 12.2% 12.9% 11.6% 7.1% 3.1% 0.6%
Cameron Baxter 1.8% 2.6% 2.9% 4.1% 4.2% 6.1% 6.9% 7.9% 11.1% 16.9% 21.4% 11.5% 2.6%
Joshua Steward 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 0.7% 1.7% 2.9% 4.1% 7.5% 30.9% 48.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.